🟥 filthy
The red tier. $20+ on a dollar — filthy. The market thinks these are nearly impossible. History disagrees just often enough to keep things interesting.
69 active markets across all boards
- 🟥 President orders UFO file release before August 1 Area 51 's HR department is updating their LinkedIn $1 → $33.33 Kalshi »
- 🟥 NASA lands person on Moon before 2028 we're funding this with stimulus checks and TikTok ad revenue $1 → $34.48 Kalshi »
- 🟥 Hurricane Fausto reaches Category 2 the naming committee's next casualty list is forming $1 → $25 Kalshi »
- 🟥 US signs new nuclear deal with Iran before September diplomacy speedrun any% $1 → $25 Kalshi »
- 🟥 Bertha becomes a Category 1 hurricane or stronger just please on the day i bring an umbrella $1 → $50 Kalshi »
- 🟥 Hurricane Fausto reaches Category 4 strength nature's way of saying the simulation still works $1 → $25 Kalshi »
- 🟥 ChatGPT hits 1550 on Text Arena first the kind of thing Silicon Valley bets on at 2am $1 → $25 Kalshi »
- 🟥 Elida strengthens to Category 2 the Pacific has seen your bracket and disagrees $1 → $33.33 Kalshi »
- 🟥 Taylor Swift meets Pope Leo XIV this year Bejeweled, Vatican edit $1 → $16.67 Kalshi »
- 🟥 Waka Waka opens the World Cup Final halftime show Shakira's hips do not lie and they have a setlist $1 → $16.67 Kalshi »
- 🟥 Iran has no Head of State by end of 2026 in other news: the Swiss Guard pivots to stand-up comedy $1 → $27.78 Polymarket »
- 🟥 China blockades Taiwan in 2026 also on the docket: Applebee's pivots to fine dining $1 → $18.52 Polymarket »
- 🟥 New People wins Russia's next parliamentary election in other news: IKEA pivoting to artisanal borscht $1 → $36.36 Polymarket »
- 🟥 Randy Villegas wins the CA-22 primary in other news, the Powerball jackpot is big this week $1 → $16.67 Kalshi »
- 🟥 Trump pardons Maduro before 2027 in other news: the ICC opens a spa $1 → $15.38 Polymarket »
- 🟥 Rakhi Israni Singh wins the CA-14 primary district hasn't gotten the memo yet $1 → $16.67 Kalshi »
- 🟥 Grok hits 1550 first on Text Arena Secretariat at Belmont, but the horse is extremely online $1 → $25 Kalshi »
- 🟥 US and Iran sign a nuclear deal before July We Found Love in a Hopeless Place, but the remix $1 → $50 Kalshi »
- 🟥 John Fleming wins the Louisiana Senate GOP nomination in other news: the Louisiana Republican Party inventing a new kind of calculus $1 → $24.69 Polymarket »
- 🟥 Ecuador beats Curaçao 2-1 the cosmos does not care about your parlay $1 → $15.38 Polymarket »
- 🟥 Pittsburgh finishes with the worst record in 2026-27 The Raft of the Medusa, but make it basketball $1 → $50 Kalshi »
- 🟥 China unbans Bitcoin by 2027 in other news: Vegas announces prohibition revival $1 → $31.25 Polymarket »
- 🟥 Trump drops new UFO files before June 8 in other news: Congress passing a budget by Thursday $1 → $33.33 Kalshi »
- 🟥 NASA lands a person on the Moon before 2027 the SLS is still in the parking lot $1 → $45.45 Kalshi »
- 🟥 May 2026 is the hottest May on record in other news: Antarctica considering a Starbucks $1 → $50 Kalshi »
- 🟥 João Fonseca wins the 2026 Men's US Open in other news: Godot confirmed for Saturday's draw $1 → $31.75 Polymarket »
- 🟥 ICEMAN moves 25K+ pure album sales its first week tracklist in a Notes app screenshot did more $1 → $20 Kalshi »
- 🟥 Bruno Mars streams hit 390 million this week my "gym feel good playlist" has never seen a greater achievement $1 → $20 Kalshi »
- 🟥 Trump nationalizes SpaceX in other news: the SEC mining bitcoin on their Lenovo Thinkpads $1 → $33.33 Kalshi »
- 🟥 Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series it's anybody's ball game $1 → $19.42 Polymarket »
- 🟥 Trump meets Iran diplomats by May 31 the Art of the Deal, inshallah $1 → $32.26 Polymarket »
- 🟥 Zubimendi leads Champions League yellow cards the man needs 2 more and he has one game. Here we go! $1 → $38.46 Polymarket »
- 🟥 'Dots' wins Best Scenic Design of a Musical at the Tonys Sondheim would be baffled $1 → $25 Kalshi »
- 🟥 Josh Hader wins AL Reliever of the Year long shot, late leverage, maximum drama $1 → $25 Kalshi »
- 🟥 François Hollande wins the 2027 French presidency Lazare sorti du tombeau $1 → $26.67 Polymarket »
- 🟥 Howard Steven Rance wins the FL-09 Republican nomination wikipedia page currently under construction $1 → $20 Polymarket »
- 🟥 ADMK wins the most seats in Tamil Nadu's 2026 election Jaya Ho playing in the distance, barely $1 → $16.81 Polymarket »
- 🟥 Ukraine coup attempt before July not even the discourse wants this one $1 → $24.39 Polymarket »
- 🟥 SWAG stays number one for a week or more the charts are unwell $1 → $50 Kalshi »
- 🟥 Will Shane Gillis be the primary target of the roast and whose name appears in the official title or promotional materials of the roast special at the next Netflix-produced live or recorded celebrity roast special released on Netflix? science is just spicy guessing $1 → $16.67 Kalshi »
- 🟥 Will Yolanda Flowers win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election? this is getting brought up at the reunion $1 → $46.51 Polymarket »
- 🟥 Will Ethan Agarwal advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? the kind of bet you explain poorly at parties $1 → $32.79 Polymarket »
- 🟥 Diamondbacks demolish Cardinals by 6.5+ St. Louis gets Sonny Gray'd into the stratosphere $1 → $23 DraftKings »
- 🟥 Coventry stuns Arsenal at the Emirates the Sky Blues do what 19 other teams couldn't—actually show up $1 → $16 FanDuel »
- 🟥 Giants cover against the Mariners in Seattle tonight a 6% miracle brought to you by a team named after dead gold miners $1 → $17.50 BetMGM »
- 🟥 Dodgers beat the Orioles in a historic blowout tonight Shohei Ohtani, Freddie Freeman, and the entire GDP of California $1 → $34 BetMGM »
- 🟥 White Sox somehow beat the Dodgers tonight the baseball equivalent of a dial-up modem defeating a supercomputer $1 → $34 BetMGM »
- 🟥 New Mexico State shocks Florida State tonight the Seminoles are in a Francis Scott Key level freefall right now $1 → $25 FanDuel »
- 🟥 Spurs obliterate Knicks by 31 or more tonight Wembanyama just unlocked a 99 overall rating in San Antonio $1 → $19 FanDuel »
- 🟥 Hurricanes hammer the Golden Knights by five tonight Rod Brind'Amour personally offended by Vegas existing $1 → $17 FanDuel »
- 🟥 Hurricanes blow out the Golden Knights by five or more this is the Snyder Cut of NHL upset specials $1 → $29 FanDuel »
- 🟥 Dodgers beat the other LA team by literally existing the Angels are the Meg of Los Angeles professional sports $1 → $36 FanDuel »
- 🟥 Hurricanes blow out the Golden Knights by five or more Aho and Svechnikov walking into Vegas like it's a heist movie they've already rehearsed $1 → $30 FanDuel »
- 🟥 Knicks blow out the Spurs by 21 or more in San Antonio Wembanyama's rookie year did NOT prepare him for Jalen Brunson in playoff shape $1 → $19 FanDuel »
- 🟥 East Carolina upsets Alabama in Tuscaloosa tonight Bear Bryant is spinning but hear the Pirates out $1 → $17 FanDuel »
- 🟥 Diamondbacks drop nine or more on the Giants tonight Corbin Carroll woke up and chose Bondesian violence $1 → $26 DraftKings »
- 🟥 Boston Red Sox beat Minnesota Twins by 1.5+ as sure as gravity $1 → $19 DraftKings »
- 🟥 Spurs stun OKC by twenty-eight or more tonight Wembanyama and a 28-point cushion: a fever dream in silver and black $1 → $19 FanDuel »
- 🟥 Spurs destroy OKC by 27 in the impossible game Wembanyama pulls out the full Victor Frankenstein $1 → $19 FanDuel »
- 🟥 Thunder demolish the Spurs by 33 or more tonight Wembanyama is good but SGA is currently a video game character set to rookie difficulty $1 → $19 FanDuel »
- 🟥 Angels stun the Dodgers across town tonight Shohei Ohtani going Full Brutus at Angel Stadium $1 → $34 BetMGM »
- 🟥 Rockies and Diamondbacks combine for 14 or more runs at Coors Coors Field: where ERAs go to die and totals go to ascend $1 → $19 DraftKings »
- 🟥 Tigers pull off the most absurd upset of the season at the Mets chaos agent energy, pure Detroit nothing-to-lose nuclear option $1 → $36 FanDuel »
- 🟥 Cavaliers obliterate the Pistons by 22 or more tonight Donovan Mitchell is about to file a noise complaint on Detroit $1 → $19 FanDuel »
- 🟥 Timberwolves run up the score on the Spurs by 15 or more Wembanyama watches from the bench as Ant-Man goes full Thanos $1 → $19 FanDuel »
- 🟥 76ers somehow keep it close with the Knicks the 2025 Sixers are a Philly cheesesteak made entirely of Whiz $1 → $21 FanDuel »
- 🟥 Timberwolves humiliate the Spurs by 21 or more tonight Wembanyama gets benched before the fourth quarter even starts $1 → $19 FanDuel »
- 🟥 Pistons stun the Cavaliers by twenty-two tonight Donovan Mitchell is already texting his agent just in case $1 → $19 FanDuel »
- 🟥 Cavaliers demolish Pistons by sixteen or more tonight Donovan Mitchell eating Detroit alive like it's 2007 LeBron energy $1 → $18 FanDuel »