the week in dollar bets
July 06 – July 12, 2026
60 markets featured across 7 days. Here's what stood out.
biggest longshot
🟪 Taqaddom Party wins the most seats in Lebanon
$1 could have paid $666.67
in other news: Hezbollah pivoting to competitive pickleball
most respectable longshot
🟧 UNI hits $15.50 by end of 2026
$1 pays $11.11 — dramatic but credible
in other news: a lottery ticket checks itself in
lowest payout on the board
🟩 Bruno Mars streams past 19.5B this year
$1 pays $1.54 — barely worth bragging about
the man is basically a utility now
all markets this week
- 🟩 John Pardon wins the 2026 Fields Medal the math department parking lot is tense $1 → $2.04 Polymarket »
- 🟩 Frank Blas Jr. takes the Guam GOP governor primary a small island with a very specific Tuesday ahead $1 → $2.22 Polymarket »
- 🟩 Kristi Noem exits the Trump administration this year the revolving door is right there $1 → $2.69 Polymarket »
- 🟨 Starship puts humans on Mars before 2030 The Martian but nobody brought enough potatoes $1 → $5.56 Kalshi »
- 🟨 OpenAI IPOs before Anthropic money printer go brrr, Sam Altman edition $1 → $5.88 Kalshi »
- 🟨 US and Iran ink a nuclear deal before September 99 Luftballons still floating $1 → $6.25 Kalshi »
- 🟧 Spain wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup Yamal is 18 and already writing the script $1 → $7.78 Polymarket »
- 🟧 UNI hits $15.50 by end of 2026 in other news: a lottery ticket checks itself in $1 → $11.11 Polymarket »
- 🟥 China blockades Taiwan in 2026 also on the docket: Applebee's pivots to fine dining $1 → $18.52 Polymarket »
- 🟪 Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 Super Bowl Immaculate Reception 2 requires a working time machine $1 → $95.24 Polymarket »
- 🟩 A humanoid robot walks on Mars before we do WALL-E was a documentary $1 → $2 Kalshi »
- 🟩 Trump expands the travel ban by June the list grows $1 → $2.35 Polymarket »
- 🟩 Cardinals cover the spread tonight Busch Stadium will not be haunted tonight $1 → $2.90 Polymarket »
- 🟨 Dantes gets banned from Twitch this year one permaban-shaped sword of Damocles $1 → $4.55 Kalshi »
- 🟨 Starship carries humans to Mars before 2030 in other news: Southwest offering nonstop flights to Olympus Mons $1 → $5.56 Kalshi »