the week in dollar bets
June 29 – July 05, 2026
58 markets featured across 7 days. Here's what stood out.
biggest longshot
🟪 WTI crude hits $175 this June
$1 could have paid $2,000
in other news: someone's short-selling the sun
most respectable longshot
🟧 Netherlands beats Morocco 2-0
$1 pays $13.33 — dramatic but credible
in other news, someone's finding a very specific parlay
lowest payout on the board
🟩 Steve Lacy's 'Oh Yeah' tops 35K units this week
$1 pays $1.52 — barely worth bragging about
Gemini era Steve is not playing around
all markets this week
- 🟩 Japan gets an 8.0 earthquake before 2030 the Ring of Fire does not negotiate $1 → $1.54 Kalshi »
- 🟩 South Korea inflation hits 3% in 2026 kimchi prices said something first $1 → $2.02 Polymarket »
- 🟩 A perfect game gets thrown this MLB season 27 up, 27 down, one guy's entire personality $1 → $2.53 Polymarket »
- 🟨 2026 is the hottest year on record This Is Fine, the sequel, directed by the atmosphere $1 → $4.41 Kalshi »
- 🟨 Warhol breaks the auction record this season fifteen minutes of fame, $195 million price tag $1 → $6.25 Kalshi »
- 🟨 OpenAI IPOs before Anthropic money printer go brrr, Sam Altman edition $1 → $6.67 Kalshi »
- 🟧 Gemini hits 1550 on Text Arena first you had one job, GPT $1 → $9.09 Kalshi »
- 🟧 Netherlands beats Morocco 2-0 in other news, someone's finding a very specific parlay $1 → $13.33 Polymarket »
- 🟥 NASA lands on the Moon before 2028 the Artemis page is currently under construction $1 → $20 Kalshi »
- 🟪 Elon posts exactly 420-439 tweets in July identifying this many individual hairs on a specific dog $1 → $285.71 Polymarket »
- 🟩 June inflation lands at 3.8% the Fed is in its Groundhog Day era $1 → $2.19 Polymarket »
- 🟩 Nuclear fusion achieved before 2030 always two years away, like Half-Life 3 $1 → $2.97 Kalshi »
- 🟨 Petr Yan fights Sean O'Malley next short the matchmaker, long the chaos $1 → $4.07 Polymarket »
- 🟨 Grüne win the most Berlin seats in 2026 in other news: the SPD found a new way to lose $1 → $4.82 Polymarket »
- 🟨 Starship puts humans on Mars before 2030 The Martian but the rescue mission doesn't come $1 → $5.26 Kalshi »