the week in dollar bets
61 markets featured across 7 days. Here's what stood out.
biggest longshot
Fetterman leaves the Democratic Party by June 30
$1 could have paid $250
Zell Miller only did it once
most respectable longshot
Grok hits 1550 first on Text Arena
$1 pays $25 — dramatic but credible
Secretariat at Belmont, but the horse is extremely online
lowest payout on the board
Japan gets an 8.0 earthquake before 2030
$1 pays $1.59 — barely worth bragging about
the Ring of Fire has a calendar
all markets this week
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Any AI model hits 1530 Arena Score by June$1 pays$133.33Light years ahead of where we are now, and also: no
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US and Iran sign a nuclear deal before July$1 pays$50We Found Love in a Hopeless Place, but the remix
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Grok hits 1550 first on Text Arena$1 pays$25Secretariat at Belmont, but the horse is extremely online
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Doge-1 reaches the moon by end of 2026$1 pays$9.05the wikipedia page is currently under construction
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Trump endorses Machado for Venezuela president this year$1 pays$8.70in other news: JCPOA returning as a limited-run Netflix original
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California hits an 8.0 earthquake before 2028$1 pays$6.25just please not the day I drive the 5
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'So Easy (To Fall In Love)' lands a Grammy nod$1 pays$4.55the Recording Academy has made stranger calls with a straight face
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Van Gogh shatters the auction record this season$1 pays$4.35ear joke too easy, $117M joke perfectly sized
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Ethereum crashes to $1,000 this year$1 pays$4.08the Fyre Festival of asset classes, potentially
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2026 is the hottest year on record$1 pays$3.85just please not the summer I finally buy a convertible
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Dan Sullivan holds his Alaska Senate seat in 2026$1 pays$2.63the Last Frontier, reliably
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Venezuela schedules an election by end of 2026$1 pays$2.60Maduro's calendar, famously flexible
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Next Mythos-class AI model drops by July$1 pays$2.56the benchmark leaderboard is updating as we speak
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Rippling IPOs before Deel$1 pays$2.33first to the ticker window wins nothing except everything
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Frank Blas Jr. wins the Guam GOP primary$1 pays$2.08small island, decisive vibes