the week in dollar bets
62 markets featured across 7 days. Here's what stood out.
biggest longshot
Elon posts exactly 140-164 tweets in three days
$1 could have paid $2,000
the odds of this are the same as a controlled demolition landing on one specific tile
most respectable longshot
US and Iran strike a nuclear deal this year
$1 pays $10 — dramatic but credible
52 days left, tick tick boom
lowest payout on the board
Japan gets an 8.0 earthquake before 2030
$1 pays $1.54 — barely worth bragging about
the Ring of Fire has a standing appointment
all markets this week
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Angela Gonzales-Torres wins the CA-34 primary$1 pays$100one in a hundred, one in a hundred, one in a hundred — Taylor Swift but make it a ballot
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Trump drops new UFO files before June 8$1 pays$33.33in other news: Congress passing a budget by Thursday
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Texans win the AFC Championship in 2027$1 pays$11.49short the offensive line, long the prayer
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US and Iran strike a nuclear deal this year$1 pays$1052 days left, tick tick boom
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US passes an AI safety bill before 2027$1 pays$5.26Congress is currently buffering
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US licenses a new nuclear reactor before 2027$1 pays$4.78atoms split faster than federal timelines, usually
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X launches its own stablecoin this year$1 pays$4.44the everything app wants your everything wallet
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Yan vs. O'Malley happens next$1 pays$3.74in other news: the DMV pivoting to express lanes
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Bitcoin hits $90K this year$1 pays$3.64number goes up, your ex who sold in 2021 goes quiet
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Mars landing beats California high-speed rail$1 pays$2.86SpaceX is the detour and Caltrain is the destination
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Venezuela holds an election by end of 2026$1 pays$2.70Maduro scheduling things is very 'I'll be there at 7' energy
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Venezuela holds an election this year$1 pays$2.67Maduro scheduling democracy, pencil not pen
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Starmer runs for Labour leader again$1 pays$2.15every band has a reunion tour
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California gets an 8.0 earthquake before 2035$1 pays$1.61San Andreas has been workshopping this bit for decades