the week in dollar bets
June 08 – June 14, 2026
62 markets featured across 7 days. Here's what stood out.
biggest longshot
🟪 Elon posts exactly 140-164 tweets in three days
$1 could have paid $2,000
the odds of this are the same as a controlled demolition landing on one specific tile
most respectable longshot
🟧 US and Iran strike a nuclear deal this year
$1 pays $10 — dramatic but credible
52 days left, tick tick boom
lowest payout on the board
🟩 Japan gets an 8.0 earthquake before 2030
$1 pays $1.54 — barely worth bragging about
the Ring of Fire has a standing appointment
all markets this week
- 🟩 Starmer runs for Labour leader again every band has a reunion tour $1 → $2.15 Polymarket »
- 🟩 Venezuela holds an election this year Maduro scheduling democracy, pencil not pen $1 → $2.67 Polymarket »
- 🟩 Mars landing beats California high-speed rail SpaceX is the detour and Caltrain is the destination $1 → $2.86 Kalshi »
- 🟨 Yan vs. O'Malley happens next in other news: the DMV pivoting to express lanes $1 → $3.74 Polymarket »
- 🟨 X launches its own stablecoin this year the everything app wants your everything wallet $1 → $4.44 Polymarket »
- 🟨 US licenses a new nuclear reactor before 2027 atoms split faster than federal timelines, usually $1 → $4.78 Kalshi »
- 🟧 US and Iran strike a nuclear deal this year 52 days left, tick tick boom $1 → $10 Kalshi »
- 🟧 Texans win the AFC Championship in 2027 short the offensive line, long the prayer $1 → $11.49 Polymarket »
- 🟥 Trump drops new UFO files before June 8 in other news: Congress passing a budget by Thursday $1 → $33.33 Kalshi »
- 🟪 Angela Gonzales-Torres wins the CA-34 primary one in a hundred, one in a hundred, one in a hundred — Taylor Swift but make it a ballot $1 → $100 Kalshi »
- 🟩 California gets an 8.0 earthquake before 2035 San Andreas has been workshopping this bit for decades $1 → $1.61 Kalshi »
- 🟩 Ryan Duckett wins the CA-37 primary pencil it in $1 → $2.13 Kalshi »
- 🟩 Venezuela holds an election by end of 2026 Maduro scheduling things is very 'I'll be there at 7' energy $1 → $2.70 Polymarket »
- 🟨 Bitcoin hits $90K this year number goes up, your ex who sold in 2021 goes quiet $1 → $3.64 Polymarket »
- 🟨 US passes an AI safety bill before 2027 Congress is currently buffering $1 → $5.26 Polymarket »