the week in dollar bets
May 11 – May 17, 2026
50 markets featured across 5 days. Here's what stood out.
biggest longshot
🟪 Michael Younger wins California Governor in 2026
$1 could have paid $400
Carly Rae Jepsen has better odds
most respectable longshot
🟧 Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series
$1 pays $10.47 — dramatic but credible
October's very own
lowest payout on the board
🟩 Both teams score in Marseille vs Rennais
$1 pays $1.69 — barely worth bragging about
you see it every day
all markets this week
- 🟩 Both teams score in Marseille vs Rennais you see it every day $1 → $1.69 Kalshi »
- 🟩 Xi and Takaichi meet before 2027 who sends who the Calendly $1 → $2.53 Polymarket »
- 🟩 2026 breaks the heat record something something sweat emoji $1 → $2.56 Kalshi »
- 🟨 Trump tops Google's Year in Search 2026 googles "is trump going to win the year in search" $1 → $4.76 Kalshi »
- 🟨 Humans colonize Mars by 2050 in other news: the Mariana Trench fully mapped by Tuesday $1 → $5.13 Kalshi »
- 🟨 Lovable gets acquired before 2027 your cousin's micro SaaS hot-girl-ranker.io is now a Berkshire Hathaway company $1 → $5.71 Polymarket »
- 🟧 Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series October's very own $1 → $10.47 Polymarket »
- 🟧 David Reynoso wins Best Costume Design at the Tonys approx 7 people in the literal world have a stake in this $1 → $14.29 Kalshi »
- 🟥 Trump and Iran hold diplomatic talks by May we did start the fire and we're burning refineries and bridges until the world stops turning $1 → $28.99 Polymarket »
- 🟪 Trump tries to fire Powell Special teams, special plays, special players. $1 → $125 Polymarket »
- 🟩 Ethereum dips to $2,200 this week she's let me down before, she's probably going to do it again $1 → $2.44 Polymarket »
- 🟩 Baidu leads AI by end of May 2026 like watching a 5' 2" middle-schooler sink a deep 3 at the buzzer $1 → $2.82 Polymarket »
- 🟩 Hurricanes beat Avalanches to win the Stanley Cup A literal natural disaster of a cup. $1 → $2.82 Polymarket »
- 🟨 Which song will win the Grammy for Record of the Year? Choosing Texas is So Easy I Just Might. $1 → $4.35 Kalshi »
- 🟨 Which film will win best Original screenplay at the Oscars? any spontaneous musical number is an immediate +3 $1 → $4.35 Kalshi »