the week in dollar bets
May 04 – May 10, 2026
70 markets featured across 7 days. Here's what stood out.
biggest longshot
🟪 Delhi Capitals win the 2026 IPL
$1 could have paid $400
not with a bang but a 0.0025
most respectable longshot
🟧 Elon Musk visits Mars in his lifetime
$1 pays $12.50 — dramatic but credible
I miss the earth so much, I miss my wife
lowest payout on the board
🟩 Taylor Swift out-streams Drake this week
$1 pays $1.56 — barely worth bragging about
not even her villain era
all markets this week
- 🟩 Ethereum hits $1,500 by end of 2026 number go down is also a number $1 → $2.30 Polymarket »
- 🟩 ChatGPT is getting more expensive the enshittification schedule remains on track $1 → $2.38 Kalshi »
- 🟩 2026 is the hottest year on record outrageously plausible $1 → $2.44 Kalshi »
- 🟨 Inflation cracks 5% in 2026 money printer go brrrr, but like, again $1 → $3.92 Polymarket »
- 🟨 May 2026 is the hottest May ever recorded June is going to have notes $1 → $5.56 Kalshi »
- 🟨 New York Jets finish last in 2026-27 short the franchise, long the trauma $1 → $5.88 Kalshi »
- 🟧 Trump lands #2 on Google Year in Search 2026 always the bridesmaid, never the algorithm $1 → $9.09 Kalshi »
- 🟧 Elon Musk visits Mars in his lifetime I miss the earth so much, I miss my wife $1 → $12.50 Kalshi »
- 🟥 Howard Steven Rance wins the FL-09 Republican nomination wikipedia page currently under construction $1 → $20 Polymarket »
- 🟪 SpaceX IPO lands in October 2026 Godot, but for retail investors $1 → $86.96 Polymarket »
- 🟩 ChatGPT gets more expensive back when i was a kid google searches were free $1 → $2.63 Kalshi »
- 🟩 Rain hits Houston in May 2026 outrageously plausible $1 → $2.70 Kalshi »
- 🟩 Crystal Palace takes first half vs Everton seen this one before $1 → $2.78 Kalshi »
- 🟨 PSG wins the 2025–26 Champions League money ball, but make the ball also money $1 → $3.17 Polymarket »
- 🟨 Trump lands Top 5 on Google Year in Search 2026 the algorithm is us and we are it $1 → $3.45 Kalshi »