the week in dollar bets
April 20 – April 26, 2026
19 markets featured across 2 days. Here's what stood out.
biggest longshot
🟧 Will FIFA pull the World Cup out of the USA?
$1 could have paid $50
the cowards won't bet this
most respectable longshot
🟨 New all-time temperature record set in April?
$1 pays $10 — dramatic but credible
confidently wagered, nervously refreshed
lowest payout on the board
🟩 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
$1 pays $1.52 — barely worth bragging about
predictable as the weather
all markets this week
- 🟩 Bitcoin above $100k on April 30? the chart has a plan $1 → $1.61 Kalshi »
- 🟩 S&P 500 closes green today? this is why people have trust issues $1 → $1.82 Kalshi »
- 🟩 Any NBA first-round playoff sweep? a buzzer beater of a dollar bet $1 → $2.22 Kalshi »
- 🟩 SpaceX Starship launch attempt this week? the chart looks like a heartbeat $1 → $2.38 Kalshi »
- 🟩 Elon Musk tweets 50+ times Saturday? posting through it $1 → $2.86 Kalshi »
- 🟨 New frontier AI model released this week? mentioned in passing, obsessed about privately $1 → $5.56 Kalshi »
- 🟨 Magnitude 5+ earthquake in California this week? only in california $1 → $8.33 Kalshi »
- 🟨 New all-time temperature record set in April? confidently wagered, nervously refreshed $1 → $10 Kalshi »
- 🟧 Will it snow in NYC before May? dress accordingly $1 → $12.50 Kalshi »
- 🟧 TikTok banned in US before July? a prayer and a dollar $1 → $20 Kalshi »
- 🟩 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030? predictable as the weather $1 → $1.52 Kalshi »
- 🟩 Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX? Katy Perry mission lead: unconfirmed $1 → $1.61 Kalshi »
- 🟩 Will Robin Le Normand be in the Spain World Cup final squad? the kind of bet you explain poorly at parties $1 → $3.03 Kalshi »
- 🟨 Will Pope Leo XIV visit United States before Jan 1, 2027? conclave vibes remain immaculate $1 → $10 Kalshi »
- 🟨 Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime? I think it's gonna be a long, long time $1 → $10 Kalshi »